Poll: Florida Republicans Steadfast in Commitment to Trump
New insights into the political landscape of Florida show the unwavering commitment of Florida Republicans to former U.S. President Donald Trump despite the official presidential bid of Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis, according to a new 麻豆女郎 Mainstreet PolCom Lab poll.
New insights into the political landscape of Florida show the unwavering commitment of Florida Republicans to former U.S. President Donald Trump despite the official presidential bid of Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis, according to a new 麻豆女郎 Mainstreet PolCom Lab poll.
Although DeSantis and Trump enjoy significant popularity among Floridians, Trump maintains a formidable 20 percent lead over DeSantis among statewide GOP primary voters, with Trump capturing the support of 50 percent of Republican voters compared to DeSantis鈥 30 percent.
鈥淭he poll highlights Donald Trump鈥檚 quite durable support. He does especially well with white working-class voters, who have consistently formed a steadfast base for the former president,鈥 said Kevin Wagner, Ph.D., professor of political science at 麻豆女郎. 鈥淭his persistent support continues to bolster Trump鈥檚 strong and steady position within the party.鈥
Poll Shows Non-Trump Support Seen as 鈥楧isloyal鈥
The PolCom Lab poll further reveals that 1 in 5 Republicans perceive supporting a candidate other than Trump in the primaries as disloyal, posing a challenging environment for any contender seeking to challenge the former president鈥檚 dominance.
However, the poll also unveils a promising trend for DeSantis. The gap between Trump and DeSantis in Florida has narrowed by 7 percent since the PolCom Lab鈥檚 April poll results, indicating that the race has the potential to tighten as the election gets closer.
The poll shows that DeSantis would defeat Biden by 13 percent (49 percent vs. 36 percent) among Floridians, which is larger than the 10 percent edge Trump has over the president. The survey also found that 54 percent of Floridians 鈥渟trongly鈥 or 鈥渟omewhat鈥 approve of the job DeSantis is doing as governor. 聽
鈥淭hese poll results could be an important motivator for DeSantis to promote his bid for the Republican primary, as he may be a stronger candidate against the incumbent,鈥 said Dukhong Kim, Ph.D., associate professor of political science at 麻豆女郎. 鈥淭he poll indicates that the margin held by Trump or DeSantis at this time is larger than the 3.3 percent vote difference observed in the 2020 presidential election, suggesting that Florida is shifting toward becoming a safe state for Republicans.鈥
Other GOP Contenders Also Gain (Some) Voter Attention
Trump and DeSantis lead the political fight for the presidency among GOP voters, with other names holding limited traction. Notable figures such as former New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie and former U.S. Vice President Mike Pence are each garnering a mere 2 percent of support. However, minority candidates Tim Scott and Vivek Ramaswamy have drawn some interest, with 2.5 percent and 3.6 percent respectively. The poll shows Black and Hispanic voters having a more significant interest in minority GOP candidates.
The poll, conducted from June 27 to July 1, included a sample of 933 Florida voters. The margin of error stands at +/- 3.2 percentage points at the 95-percent confidence level, with higher margins of error in each subsample. The survey utilized automated telephone interviews (Smart IVR) for data collection.
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